A Comparative Study of Traditional Statistical Methods and Machine Learning Techniques for Improved Predictive Models

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Bader S Alanazi

Abstract

The financial sector has undergone a major transformation through the incorporation of machine learning (ML) techniques, improving decision-making and predictive accuracy. This research explores the application of several ML algorithms to a dataset of historical stock prices to forecast future price movements. We conduct a comparative analysis of traditional models, including linear regression, and advanced ML techniques, including random forests, decision trees, and approaches like Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. Our analysis reveals that while traditional models establish a baseline, advanced techniques substantially outperform them regarding accuracy and reliability. This research also emphasizes the ethical challenges of using machine learning in finance, particularly in terms of model interpretability and data privacy.

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